A Coming Exodus of Older Homeowners?

Just as we’ve had several posts about keeping an eye on the millennial generation, we also need to be watching that other elusive group, baby boomers (those born between 1946 & 1964).   A recent report by Fannie Mae and the University of Southern California says in the coming years boomers will be exiting the homeownership arena as they become renters, move to care facilities or even die.  They note that boomers currently inhabit 46 million owner-occupied homes that are worth an estimated $13.5 trillion.  For their report, they analyzed the attrition rates of past generations of older homeowners and used their findings to project future homeownership exits by this aging cohort.

“With the oldest Boomers now in their early 70s, the beginning of a mass homeownership exodus looms on the horizon, fueling fears of a “generational housing bubble” in which homeownership demand from younger generations is insufficient to fill the void left by multitudes of departing older owners.”

Click here to read the full story at FannieMae.com.

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Rental Laws Hamstringing Landlords On West Coast

In a recent episode of Real Estate News for Investors, Kathy Fettke discusses how Landlords in Portland (Oregon) and Seattle are being “choked” by new & proposed rental laws.  Portland landlords are gearing up for a fight over legislation that would limit their use of an applicant’s criminal history as well as a proposal to reduce income and security deposit requirements.  In Seattle, the city is facing a lawsuit over a more stringent version of those rules that were passed last year, and went into effect in February.  The bottom-line here is that what starts on the coasts could spread inward…unless it’s stopped.

Kathy Fettke is the Co-Founder and Co-CEO of Real Wealth Network and is passionate about researching and then sharing the most important information about real estate, market cycles and the economy. She’s author of the #1 best-seller, Retire Rich with Rentals, Kathy is a frequent guest expert on such media as CNN, CNBC, Fox News, NPR and CBS.  Her podcasts are a good one to have on your playlist.

Click here to read the transcript on RealWealthNetwork.com.

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Legislative update: Implementation of Fair Housing Act's Disparate Impact Standard (FR-6111-A-01)

Legislative update:
Implementation of Fair Housing Act's Disparate Impact Standard
(FR-6111-A-01)

After years of urging, the Department of Housing and Urban Development
(HUD) is now considering changes to its "disparate impact" fair housing
rule. For rental property owners and managers, disparate impact means
that seemingly neutral and common business practices, such as criminal
background screening, credit screening and Section 8 voucher policies,
among others, could trigger discrimination claims despite there being no
intent to discriminate on the part of the owner or manager. HUD is
looking for public input on the rule and we need your help in
making the voice of the rental housing industry heard loud and clear.

IN ADDITION, If you have had a personal experience with the disparate impact rule or its effects on one of your business' policies or practices, we want to hear from you directly. Please contact charles@nationalreia.org

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Is That Rehab Project Worth it?

Is that rehab project worth it?  That’s the proverbial million-dollar question.  Today’s infographic from leading self-directed IRA custodian Equity Trust Company takes a look at several rehab projects and how much ROI they bring back (per Remodeling Magazine’s 2018 Cost vs value Report).  As we’ve seen before, adding a deck and a new front door tops the list….Happy Friday!

Hat tip to Equity Trust.

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Single-family Homes Built-for-Rent on the Rise

According to recent data analyzed by the NAHB’s Eye on Housing, the number of single-family homes built-for-rent has been increasing over the last four quarters.  Using data from the Census Bureau’s Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design, they report that construction starts of single-family homes for rent totaled 42k homes, compared to 29k in the prior four quarters. In Q2 2018, there were 13k single-family built-for-rent starts.  Interestingly, this class of single-family construction excludes homes that are sold to another party for rental purposes and only includes homes built and held for rental purposes.

Click here to read the full story at the NAHB’s Eye on Housing.

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U.S. Total Household Debt Rises for 16th Straight Quarter

According to New York Fed’s most recent Quarterly Report on Household Debt, Americans’ total household debt has risen for the past 16 quarters and the total is now $618 billion higher than the previous peak of $12.68 trillion, in Q3 of 2008.  In addition, overall household debt is now 19.2% above the post-financial-crisis low reached during Q2 of 2013. The report is based on data from the New York Fed’s Consumer Credit Panel, a nationally representative sample of individual- and household-level debt and credit records drawn from anonymized Equifax credit data.  The New York Fed also issued an accompanying blog post that examines the impact of the removal of third-party collection accounts from credit reports following the implementation of the National Consumer Assistance Plan.

Key takeaways:

  • Mortgage balances 9the largest component of household debt) rose by $60 billion during the second quarter, to $9.00 trillion
  • Balances on home equity lines of credit (HELOC) continued their downward trend, declining by $4 billion, to $432 billion
  • Auto loan balances continued their six-year upward trend, increasing by $9 billion in the quarter, to $1.24 trillion
  • Credit card balances rose by $14 billion, or 1.7%, after a seasonal decline in the first quarter

“Aggregate household debt grew for the 16th consecutive quarter in the second quarter of 2018,” said Wilbert van der Klaauw, senior vice president at the New York Fed, “While overall delinquency rates have remained stable at relatively low levels, transition rates into delinquency have fallen noticeably for student debt over the past year, reflecting an improved labor market and increased participation in various income-driven repayment plans.”

Click here to read the full report at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

 

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HUD Files Housing Discrimination Complaint Against Facebook

The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development recently filed a formal complaint against Facebook for violating the Fair Housing Act by allowing landlords and home-sellers to engage in housing discrimination when utilizing their online advertising platform.  The “HUD Secretary-initiated” complaint follows an investigation into Facebook’s advertising platform that includes targeting tools enabling advertisers to filter prospective tenants or home-buyers based on protected classes.

The full release is below:

HUD FILES HOUSING DISCRIMINATION COMPLAINT AGAINST FACEBOOK
Secretary-initiated complaint alleges platform allows advertisers to discriminate

WASHINGTON – The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announced today a formal complaint against Facebook for violating the Fair Housing Act by allowing landlords and home sellers to use its advertising platform to engage in housing discrimination.

HUD claims Facebook enables advertisers to control which users receive housing-related ads based upon the recipient’s race, color, religion, sex, familial status, national origin, disability, and/or zip code. Facebook then invites advertisers to express unlawful preferences by offering discriminatory options, allowing them to effectively limit housing options for these protected classes under the guise of ‘targeted advertising.’ Read HUD’s complaint against Facebook.

“The Fair Housing Act prohibits housing discrimination including those who might limit or deny housing options with a click of a mouse,” said Anna María Farías, HUD’s Assistant Secretary for Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity. “When Facebook uses the vast amount of personal data it collects to help advertisers to discriminate, it’s the same as slamming the door in someone’s face.”

The Fair Housing Act prohibits discrimination in housing transactions including print and online advertisement on the basis of race, color, national origin, religion, sex, disability, or familial status. HUD’s Secretary-initiated complaint follows the Department’s investigation into Facebook’s advertising platform which includes targeting tools that enable advertisers to filter prospective tenants or homebuyers based on these protected classes.

For example, HUD’s complaint alleges Facebook’s platform violates the Fair Housing Act. It enables advertisers to, among other things:

  • display housing ads either only to men or women;
  • not show ads to Facebook users interested in an “assistance dog,” “mobility scooter,” “accessibility” or “deaf culture”;
  • not show ads to users whom Facebook categorizes as interested in “child care” or “parenting,” or show ads only to users with children above a specified age;
  • to display/not display ads to users whom Facebook categorizes as interested in a particular place of worship, religion or tenet, such as the “Christian Church,” “Sikhism,” “Hinduism,” or the “Bible.”
  • not show ads to users whom Facebook categorizes as interested in “Latin America,” “Canada,” “Southeast Asia,” “China,” “Honduras,” or “Somalia.”
  • draw a red line around zip codes and then not display ads to Facebook users who live in specific zip codes.

Additionally, Facebook promotes its advertising targeting platform for housing purposes with “success stories” for finding “the perfect homeowners,” “reaching home buyers,” “attracting renters” and “personalizing property ads.”

In addition, today the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York (SDNY) filed a statement of interest, joined in by HUD, in U.S. District Court on behalf of a number of private litigants challenging Facebook’s advertising platform.

HUD Secretary-Initiated Complaints

The Secretary of HUD may file a fair housing complaint directly against those whom the Department believes may be in violation of the Fair Housing Act. Secretary-Initiated Complaints are appropriate in cases, among others, involving significant issues that are national in scope or when the Department is made aware of potential violations of the Act and broad public interest relief is warranted or where HUD does not know of a specific aggrieved person or injured party that is willing or able to come forward. A Fair Housing Act complaint, including a Secretary initiated complaint, is not a determination of liability.

A Secretary-Initiated Complaint will result in a formal fact-finding investigation. The party against whom the complaint is filed will be provided notice and an opportunity to respond. If HUD’s investigation results in a determination that reasonable cause exists that there has been a violation of the Fair Housing Act, a charge of discrimination may be filed. Throughout the process, HUD will seek conciliation and voluntary resolution. Charges may be resolved through settlement, through referral to the Department of Justice, or through an administrative determination.

This year marks the 50th anniversary of the Fair Housing Act. In commemoration, HUD, local communities, and fair housing organizations across the country have coordinated a variety of activities to enhance fair housing awareness, highlight HUD’s fair housing enforcement efforts, and end housing discrimination in the nation. For a list of activities, log onto www.hud.gov/fairhousingis50.

Persons who believe they have experienced discrimination may file a complaint by contacting HUD’s Office of Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity at (800) 669-9777 (voice) or (800) 927-9275 (TTY).

Click here to read the full release at HUD.gov.

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Interest Rates Across Time

Conventional Mortgage rates can be like a moving target (click here to see what they are today).  Failure to lock in that great rate of the moment might cost you thousands over the life of the loan.  Today’s infographic from Keeping Current Matters gives us a quick snapshot of the average interest rate and mortgage payments over the last four decades.  They also remind us that current rates are still well below the historic norm!  Happy Friday!!!

Hat Tip to Keeping Current Matters.

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Local Market Monitor’s National Economic Outlook for August

Local Market Monitor, a National REIA preferred vendor, recently released their National Economic Outlook for August, 2018 where they share their thoughts on developments taking place in the U.S. economy.  Interestingly, they find “the high level of consumer spending a bit disturbing” and suspect it might have been built on borrowed money & credit cards.

National Economic Outlook – August 2018

August 14, 2018
By Ingo Winzer

I normally don’t pay much attention to the Gross Domestic Product. I’m not an economist and how you can accurately estimate the output of as large and complicated an economy as the US to within a percentage point is thankfully beyond my understanding. Furthermore, the swings from one quarter to the next are sometimes so large that the number in an quarter seems meaningless. The last time GDP was over 4 percent (4.9 percent, in the third quarter of 2014), in the very next quarter it was 1.9 percent.

But the 4.1 percent GDP growth in the second quarter of this year has been trumpeted as evidence of a very strong economy, so we better have a closer look. The largest portion of the 4.1 percent was 2.7 percent due to consumer spending. Other than that, exports were up, imports held steady, and the government spent a bit more. I actually find the high level of consumer spending a bit disturbing because I strongly suspect it was built on borrowed money – credit cards.

GDP is an income statement, not a balance sheet, and if GDP looks good only because consumers keep borrowing, what’s good in the short run will have bad consequences down the road. The next GDP report comes out in late October, just in time for the elections.

Overall, jobs in July were up 1.6 percent from last year, the same level we’ve been at for months. Jobs were up 2.6 percent in manufacturing – this is a big deal if it continues. Manufacturing is now just 10 percent of the economy (measured by jobs) but if it’s doing better because US factories have become more efficient, we can expect the entire sector to keep growing for years.

Jobs were up 2.6 percent in business services, 1.8 percent in healthcare, 1.8 percent at restaurants, 1.3 percent in finance, and just 0.6 percent in retail trade. As always, government jobs were flat.

Don’t miss what else Ingo has to say about the economy this month.  Click Here to see his FREE 6 minute webinar. 

About the Author: Ingo Winzer is President of Local Market Monitor, and has analyzed real estate markets for more than 20 years. His views on real estate markets are often quoted in the national press and in 2005, he warned that many housing markets were dangerously over-priced. Previously, Ingo was a founder and Executive Vice President of First Research, an industry research company that was acquired by Dun and Bradstreet in March 2007. He is a graduate of MIT and holds an MBA in Finance from Boston University. He resides in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Click here for more information about Local Market Monitor.

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Vacant Big-Boxes Being Used as Immigration Detention Centers

San Antonio Express-News: Security guards monitor the perimeter of a facility, which was formerly a Walmart in Brownsville, TX.

Every area has them…..empty “big box” stores.  Whether they were a Walmart or a Kroger’s there’s usually one thing for certain;  they generally sit empty for a long time and are often eyesores to the community.  A recent article in Texas’ San Antonio Express-Newsdiscusses an unlikely use for these shuttered spaces (that has also generated some controversy) as detention centers for illegals.

While this is certainly one way to repurpose a nonproducing asset, it was completely unforeseen:

“According to a special warranty deed, Walmart placed restrictions on the property forbidding the space from being used as a grocery store, supermarket, wholesale club similar to a Sam’s Club, discount store, pharmacy, adult book or adult video store, bar or nightclub, among other uses….In several tweets, Walmart has said it was “really disturbed by how our former store is being used … we had no idea it’d be used for this.”

Click here to read the full story at the San Antonio Express-News.

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